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BofA/Merrill-Lynch’s highly nuanced analyst report on Suntory’s $83.50 all-cash bid for Beam implies some reasoned concern that the offer — which was 25% over Beam’s previous share price — could be too rich for the Japanese spirits giant to recover its investment, at least in the near future.
In addition. the firm’s January 13 analyst report stepped away from its previous investment opinions on Beam and changed its recommendation from “Buy” to “No rating.”
And while a number of analysts have dismissed the possibility of a bidding war because of the high price, an analysis of the key spirits companies along with their offerings by beverage category shows that a Beam acquisition could fill needed product gaps and possibly make them more competitive, especially in the red-hot bourbon category. And that last consideration could put Brown-Forman into play.
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